Monday, 21 February 2022

NIGERIA ANALYSIS: THE WAY FORWARD


The Nigerian state is delicately poised on the brink of a precipice. In this most crucial of times, the possibilities of survival or, disaster are almost equal. This state of affairs is neither strange nor unique. It is symptomatic of a virulent malaise that has plagued the world since the late 19th century to date. That malaise is soul-crushing poverty.

      Nigeria like most former colonies is resource-rich. However, the vast majority of Nigerians are poor, very poor. It is an undeniable fact that the material condition of a human being determines every situation in his state of existence. In other words, if a human being is materially poor, such a person will also be mentally poor, emotionally poor, ideologically bankrupt, psychically dislocated, and spiritually hollow. Simply put, because we live in a plane of material existence, therefore, any form of material deprivation leads to deprivation in all other aspects of material existence.

      With this fact firmly established, it means that despite Nigeria’s resource wealth, it is, in reality, a poor country. Thus, it must be the very nature of its people to produce poor leaders. This singular fact can only partially explain the deep crisis of survival that the Nigerian state is enmeshed in.

      Colonialism as a model of imperial state business enterprise created Nigeria. Every nation within the colony put up resistance but, this was usually feeble due to the weakened nature of the sub-region. The people of the sub-region had already been materially devastated and dislocated by many man-made disasters – self-serving jihads, senseless civil wars, inhuman slave trading, sadistic cultural practices, and disease. Thus, all the British had to do was carry out a process of pacification, and then install a structure to facilitate primitive exploitation of the territory.

      Nevertheless, the British had to give up their imperial business holdings due to the fallout of the 2nd world war. They were not given much of a choice in this regard because, the newly emergent powers after the war were the United States and the Soviet Union, two countries whose state ideologies were vehemently against any form of slavery, be it human or territorial. Colonialism is territorial slavery. Thus, a fundamental condition for economic aid, was for the devastated European powers to give up their territorial slave holdings(colonies) through the facilitation of state independence.

      As an imperial business enterprise, Nigeria was a cash cow for the British and it was not just ready to let go just like that. It created structures and put into place certain instruments that made sure that it had a neo-colonial hold over its business. This was not strange since all the other European colonial powers did the same in their former colonies.

      Using the instrument of divide and rule, control of resource extraction entities, an extremely lop-sided regional structure, and the endemic distrust among the co-existing nations; the foundation for state destabilisation and an endless crisis was firmly established. However, it must be clearly pointed out that it was the conscious refusal of the elite state actors to confront crucial and objective realities, and at the same time ask and answer vital existential questions that have been the true foundation of the unending crisis faced by the Nigerian state.

      No entity can survive a state of immobility, and a country is no different. Whether the state of Nigeria likes it or not, it has to keep moving in time. Like all entities, it will like to remain in existence but, in the case of Nigeria, will it? Its crisis of survival can only be rooted in three outcomes – maintaining the status quo, complete administrative, economic, and political restructuring, or, balkanisation. One of these three or, a hybrid of them most occur. This is as sure as the sun rising tomorrow morning.  Thus, we have to look at each of these possible outcomes critically.

      A position of being in a status quo is the desire for things to remain the way they are and, continue the way they are. It is a conscious attempt to keep things the way they are. In social, economic, and political terms, it is an attempt at frustrating change. It is a desire to keep political and administrative structures the way they are. It is a need to keep an oligarchic socio-political hierarchy stable.

      The status quo in Nigeria can be traced back to the misfortune of military misadventure into Nigerian politics. The 15th January 1966 coup d' etat with its attendant unexpected consequences laid the groundwork. The 1963 Republican constitution was suspended and, absolute political power resided in the hands of the ruling military junta. The military dissolved the three regions by chopping them up into smaller pieces which they gave the grandiose titles of “states”. They then imposed an administrative and political structure based on rigid centralisation of authority. Thus, though Nigeria was called a federation, in reality, it was a unitary state in its extreme form.

      The preferred nature of administration by the military was by decree. A decree is a law that is both unassailable and unchallengeable. Although, it has been argued that this was necessary for the successful prosecution of the 1967 – 1970 civil war by the victors; its retention after the war was by design and not forgetfulness.

      What this state of affairs did was to greatly increase the fears of domination expressed by a section of the Nigerian state and the nationalities therein. A fear that is based on good reasons and solid historical references.

       Though the military had ruled Nigeria for just over half of its post-independence history, the periods of civil rule, which includes the present; have only reinforced the entrenchment of the status quo. The constitutions of the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th republics were the instruments for maintaining the status quo. In name, these constitutions claimed to be federal in structure but, in reality; they continuously whittled away any powers that the so-called federating units had. Thus, the constitution of the 4th republic is structured in such a way that the central authority is monstrously powerful, while the “federating units” are all highly dependent appendages. In fact, with the exception of its title, the 1999 constitution is a classic example of a written unitary constitution.

      The nature of the status quo remains entrenched because of its roots.  The minority Fulani ruled most parts of northern Nigeria as an oligarchic theocracy prior to the coming of the colonialists. Using religious guile and military ruthlessness, they had conquered and overthrown the political elite of the dominant Hausa nation and many other smaller nations in what is today known as northern Nigeria. They had also managed to destroy the only threat they had in the Sahel, namely, the Oyo empire through the instruments of internal greed and treachery; tactics they have used against the other nations till this day, over and over, with unrelenting success.

       By achieving this feat, the Fulani became the undisputed masters of the Sahel. They then imposed their own form of colonialism on the conquered nations of the area through the administrative instrument of an emirate system. It was this state of affairs that the British found when they came to the region in a colonising adventure of their own.

       No nation gives up its cash cow without a struggle, and the Fulani were no different. They resisted the British with everything they could muster. Things came to a head when the two forces faced each other in pitched battle. The over 200,000 strong Fulani cavalries were decisively routed by the 5,000 strong British infantry. The decisive factor was the wide discrepancy in weapons technology. Soldiers armed with swords, spears, bows, and arrows and, fighting on horseback; were simply slaughtered by soldiers lying in trenches, armed with Gatling machine-guns and single-action rifles.

     However, as every man of destiny knows, there’s nothing like a bad situation, it’s what you make of the cards you’re dealt. The inheritors of the decimated caliphate met with the representatives of the British crown and made them an offer they couldn’t refuse. The Fulani asked the British to allow them to continue to run their caliphate, promising to make good on the issue of exploitation and expropriation on their behalf, while continuing to feather their own nest.

      The British being one of the most pragmatic people in the world, agreed to this arrangement for very practical reasons. First, they already had this kind of arrangement in the Indian sub-continent, a situation where the conquered rulers assisted in the exploitation of their own territory. Second, they had neither the manpower nor resources to directly subjugate and administer the territory. They were still having an enormous headache with the pacification of the southern part of the territory. Third, a partnership with the Fulani in which they controlled the dynamic through the corruption of the institutions of government was infinitely more profitable.

      Thus, until the end of the 2nd world war, this was the status quo. The need for the British to divest themselves of their colonial interests after the war brought about the need to rearrange the colony in such a way that exploitation would continue. For this plan to be successful, they used their Fulani friends as proxies. Thus, the grossly lop-sided regional arrangement. The arcane parliamentary machinations. The cooked census figures. The rigged independence elections. The unending destabilisation and much more. The status quo is about exploitation, unending exploitation. The result is endemic and crippling poverty for the people. This can definitely not be the way forward.

      This brings us to the issue of restructuring. In ordinary terms, the word simply means, to rearrange the component parts of an object into a new pattern or, form. In other ways, the rearrangement of the object could be to return it to its old form. Whichever way you look at it, restructuring means the rearrangement of the component parts of an object or, entity.

      However, in its most clinical political form, what is restructuring? In Nigerian political language, restructuring means the return to the political, administrative, and institutional structures maintained and guaranteed by the 1963 Republican constitution; that preceded the 15th January 1966 coup d’état that demolished the first republic.    

        Nevertheless, it is very important to point out here that, in Nigeria, the word restructuring, has a deeper and highly emotional meaning. It refers to the cry of helplessness of the disempowered and neutered power elite of the former southern regions. This unhappy state of affairs now includes the middle belt areas and parts of the far north. In actual reality, it means the agitation of various indigenous nationality power elites who have been excluded in all areas of direct influence, from acting within the country’s power matrix. By intrinsic definition, it means all of those elements, whose political power yearnings are not directly satisfied within the status quo. These are the people the inheritors of the status quo, tongue-in-cheek call the “disgruntled elements”.

       At this point in this write-up, it is important that we have a fundamental understanding of the meaning of political power. Political power at its most rudimentary is the power to allocate resources and value. It is the right to decide who gets what, when, where, and how? In simple language, it is the right to be the one who shares to, or, withdraws the good things of life from others.

     Despite the simplicity of the definition given above, it is easy to see how universal its effect is on the life of an individual, nation, and state. Thus, when we talk about restructuring, we are also talking about empowerment. The first republic’s three region state structure empowers the elite of the coexisting nationalities and through them empowers their people. The key positive in this is that each group of people can pursue the necessity of development at their own pace, without being tied to the apron strings of others.

      Since power is intrinsic to human nature, and all human beings aspire to areas of optimum personal power within their own worlds; restructuring will reduce the winner-takes-all and, do-or-die attitude currently displayed by state political actors. This is because, what they are looking for in Abuja, will be in their backyards. The fact is that, apart from an almost complete form of administrative and political autonomy; restructuring guarantees resource control.

       The agitation for restructuring and its key component of resource control is boosted by the discovery that practically every part of the country is resource-rich, either in oil or, solid minerals. Everybody has the instrument of development in their backyard. Everybody can move at their desired pace. Everybody can authoritatively protect, enhance and enjoy their own cultural ideals. More so, everybody can feel less threatened. The truly strange thing is that the agitation and settlement for the three region structure at independence are to prevent what is happening now – the fear of domination!

       Thus, a majority of the elements within the counter-elite believe that the opposition to restructuring is based on the selfishness and greed of the elite. They see the position of those trying to protect the status quo as a blatant exhibition and practice of internal or intra-state colonialism. Unfortunately, most members of the counter-elite have refused to stare the truth in the face. Most of them have been compromised by peanuts and crumbs from the master’s table. The result of this brand of myopic intellectual behaviour is that they are too busy throwing each other under the bus, instead of paying attention to what really matters.

      The objective truth is that the crisis of state that the country is currently facing, will be enormously reduced with restructuring. The leaders and their followers in the coexisting nations that make up Nigeria will have their hands full, trying to actualise their development goals, instead of fighting a do-or-die battle for the centre. It is a situation in which there will be hope for the average man on the streets. It will greatly ameliorate the soul-crushing poverty that is now being experienced around the country. It is the narrow perception of entitlement intrinsic in the mentality of the protectors of the status quo and, their active perpetuation of such, that is the crux of the call for balkanisation.

      The process of balkanising a state can come about in two ways – by negotiation or, by secession. In the first instance, members of the elite and counter elite sit at a round table and mutually agree to carve up the country. In this situation, an agreement is reached in terms of the former state’s assets and liabilities. In other words, a mutual agreement is reached on who gets what and, who pays for what? Separation by negotiation is always a long, drawn-out process. This process is only short and quick if the parties involved are all eager to go their separate ways.  History has examples of this type of mutual willingness to separate. It is usually profitable and painless.   

      The second process of state balkanisation is by secession. In the case of secession, a portion of the state decides to cut all ties from the whole, and create a new, totally independent state. In the first instance where separation is by negotiation, issues and assets of common interest can still be owned and jointly administered. However, in the case of secession, separation is usually total. In most cases, the people or nations of a seceding portion of a state come to this decision out of a feeling of acrimony; which is borne out of a sense of alienation. The process of secession comes about in two ways, which are either through a referendum or, through armed struggle.

       In the case of secession through the process of referendum, the affected people, or nations of the seceding portion of the state go to the ballot box to vote “YES” or “NO” to stay in the union or not. If “YES” is the simple majority vote, separation is immediate and total. If the simple majority vote is “NO”, then the seceding portion remains in the union. However, it should be pointed out that a referendum vote can only come about through an enforced mediation of superior power or, the superior intelligence of the state’s ruling elite.

      Conversely, secession can come through armed struggle. In this case, separation is brought about through the instrument of violence. The seceding forces engage in pitched battles against the forces of the state. This is what is known in common parlance as a civil war. This form of separation is always messy and wasteful both in human and material resources for both sides. If the secessionists succeed, they spend years licking their wounds, while their antagonists are doing the same. If they lose, the victors are always wary and uncomfortable, and the losers harbour deep-seated hatreds that never go away, except through true and sincere integration.

      In Nigeria, the cry of secession is now country-wide. The reasons for this have already been mentioned, but for the sake of articulation will now be reiterated. First, is the issue of poverty. The undeniable and irrefutable facts are that a vast majority of Nigerians are poor. This is despite the proven fact that Nigerians are one of the most industrious people on the face of the earth. So, why are Nigerians so poor in their own country? In 2019, at the height of the raging COVID-19 pandemic, Central Bank reported that Nigerians sent over $17billion dollars into the country. This is more than total oil revenues for that year. If ordinary Nigerians could generate this kind of wealth in foreign lands, why are they so poor at home?

      Second, is the issue of exclusion of the counter-elite. The feeling of powerlessness that is systemically created is a source of frustration for most of the power players. It is this politics of exclusion that is being played that makes unity unattainable, no matter the amount of lip service or propaganda that may be applied. The feeling of domination is real and true. No nation of people likes to be dominated. The issue of domination comes directly through the exclusion of their elite from the power matrix. Once a nation’s elite is excluded from the power matrix, the whole nation is excluded.

      Third, the problem of an intellectually myopic and insular ruling elite, and their second-class collaborators. It is the determination to continue reinforcing a system that is practically unsustainable. If the Nigerian state is to survive common sense has to prevail. The fear is of the country imploding not exploding. In their myopic and insular intellectual state, they refuse to see that their need to support and propagate the status quo is a recipe for mutual disaster. They refuse to see that the status quo promotes poverty. The poverty that’s rooted in institutionalised social injustice.

 

      

        

No comments:

Post a Comment